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What could the two of you
pass on?

Healthy people carry hidden genetic conditions all the time, usually with no family history. Pick each partner's ancestry and see which ones are common, and your rough odds as a couple.

Averages for a few common conditions, not your personal result. Mixed ancestry? Pick the side you know most about, or "Mixed". Nothing you choose is saved.

YOUR ODDS AS A COUPLE

Pick your ancestries.

This is only a few conditions. A carrier screen checks hundreds at once, and about 1 in 50 couples on a large panel share at least one.

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Common carrier conditions by ancestry.

Approximate carrier rates. Being a carrier is usually harmless to you. It matters when your partner carries the same condition.

AncestryCommon carrier conditions (approximate carrier rate)
White / EuropeanCystic fibrosis: 1 in 25
Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA): 1 in 47
Black / African AmericanSickle cell trait: 1 in 13
Cystic fibrosis: 1 in 61
Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA): 1 in 72
Hispanic / LatinoCystic fibrosis: 1 in 58
Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA): 1 in 68
Ashkenazi JewishTay-Sachs disease: 1 in 30
Familial dysautonomia: 1 in 32
Canavan disease: 1 in 40
Cystic fibrosis: 1 in 24
Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA): 1 in 67
South Asian (Indian, Pakistani, Bangladeshi, Sri Lankan)Thalassemia trait: 1 in 15–30
Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA): 1 in 52
Mediterranean (Greek, Italian, Cypriot, Maltese)Thalassemia trait: 1 in 7–30
Cystic fibrosis: 1 in 25
Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA): 1 in 47
Middle Eastern / North AfricanThalassemia trait: 1 in 15–50
East Asian (Chinese, Korean, Japanese)Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA): 1 in 59
Cystic fibrosis: 1 in 94
Southeast Asian (Filipino, Vietnamese, Thai and others)Thalassemia trait: 1 in 5–30
Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA): 1 in 59
Mixed or another backgroundSpinal muscular atrophy (SMA): 1 in 40–60

Rates are averages from ACOG, a pan-ethnic SMA study, CDC and WHO data. Thalassemia varies widely between communities, so it is shown as a range. Fragile X is different: about 1 in 150 to 250 women carry a premutation, whatever their ancestry. How Fragile X works.

How the odds work

For a recessive condition, a child is only affected if they get an altered copy from both parents. So the chance per pregnancy is: the chance partner 1 is a carrier × the chance partner 2 is a carrier × 1 in 4. Two white partners: 1 in 25 × 1 in 25 × 1 in 4 = about 1 in 2,500 for cystic fibrosis, which is close to how often it really happens.

That sounds small. But it's one condition. Screens look at hundreds, and the small odds add up: in a study of 9,107 couples screened on a large panel, about 1 in 50 found they shared a risk. Most had no idea. Why healthy parents can have a child with a genetic condition.

Sources

  1. ACOG Committee Opinion 691: Carrier screening for genetic conditions (2017)
  2. Sugarman EA et al. Pan-ethnic carrier screening and prenatal diagnosis for spinal muscular atrophy. Eur J Hum Genet (2012)
  3. CDC: Data and statistics on sickle cell disease (trait and disease rates)
  4. Modell B, Darlison M. Global epidemiology of haemoglobin disorders. Bulletin of the WHO (2008)
  5. Colah R et al. Global burden, distribution and prevention of β-thalassemias in India (2014)
  6. Gregg AR et al. Screening for autosomal recessive and X-linked conditions: ACMG practice resource. Genetics in Medicine (2021)
  7. Kirk EP et al. Reproductive carrier screening in 9,107 couples (Mackenzie's Mission). NEJM (2024)
  8. Bennett RL et al. Genetic counseling and screening of consanguineous couples and their offspring (NSGC). J Genet Couns (2002)

General information, not medical advice. A genetic counselor can interpret your own family history and results.

Carrier questions.

What does it mean to be a carrier?

A carrier has one altered copy of a gene for a recessive condition and one working copy. Carriers are usually healthy and most have no family history. If both partners carry the same condition, each pregnancy has a 1 in 4 chance of a child with that condition.

How accurate is this calculator?

It uses average carrier rates for each ancestry, so it gives a rough picture, not your personal result. Real carrier rates vary by family and community, and mixed ancestry changes the odds. Only a carrier screen tells you what the two of you actually carry.

If our odds look low, do we still need a carrier screen?

This calculator only shows a few common conditions. A carrier screen checks hundreds at once, and about 1 in 50 couples screened on a large panel share at least one condition. Medical guidelines (ACMG 2021) recommend offering screening to everyone planning a pregnancy.

Does being related change the odds?

Yes. Related couples are more likely to carry the same rare condition from a shared ancestor. First-cousin couples have about 1.7 to 2.8 percentage points of extra risk for a serious condition, on top of the 2 to 3% every couple has.

What can we do if we are both carriers?

You have options, and a genetic counselor walks you through them: IVF with embryo testing, testing during pregnancy, using donor eggs or sperm, adoption, or going ahead with full information. Most carrier couples still have healthy children: each pregnancy has a 3 in 4 chance of a child without the condition.